PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

CRB 1–2 Juventude · Serie B

CRB

DDWLL
1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Juventude won 1–2.

Shots
1615
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
1.161.39
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Juventude beat CRB 2–1. Recorded in this match (CRB – Juventude): shots 16–15, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 1.16–1.39, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Juventude's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Juventude's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.11 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for CRB, Juventude.

2.92 days ▲Rest daysCRB · Juventude2.92 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCRBJuventudeBaseline
Rest days2.92 days2.92 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots15 shotsCRB 16 shots, Juventude 15 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsCRB 3 shots, Juventude 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.16 xG1.39 xGCRB 1.16 xG, Juventude 1.39 xG
  • Possession49%51%CRB 49%, Juventude 51%
  • Corners10 corners2 cornersCRB 10 corners, Juventude 2 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls15 foulsCRB 17 fouls, Juventude 15 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CRB favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Juventude in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CRB8 matchesJuventude9 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored8/9▲ 1.11 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed8/9▲ 0.89 goals/match
1.22 xG/matchExpected goals8/9▲ 1.3 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots8/913.4 shots/match
3.25 shots/matchShots on target8/9▲ 4.44 shots/match
50.5%Possession8/9● 51.8%
4.75 corners/matchCorners8/9● 4.78 corners/match
16.3 fouls/matchFouls8/917.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 May 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCRBJuventude
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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