PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Guarani 2–1 Londrina · Serie B

Guarani

LDWWL
2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Guarani won 2–1.

Shots
2110
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
2.60.68
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Guarani beat Londrina 2–1. Recorded in this match (Guarani – Londrina): shots 21–10, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 2.6–0.68, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Guarani, Londrina.

4.61 days ▲Rest daysGuarani · Londrina6.7 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricGuaraniLondrinaBaseline
Rest days4.61 days6.7 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Londrina's recent record differs from the season

weak

Londrina's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots10 shotsGuarani 21 shots, Londrina 10 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsGuarani 5 shots, Londrina 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.6 xG0.68 xGGuarani 2.6 xG, Londrina 0.68 xG
  • Possession56%44%Guarani 56%, Londrina 44%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersGuarani 5 corners, Londrina 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls22 foulsGuarani 11 fouls, Londrina 22 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Guarani favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Londrina in 2 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Guarani16 matchesLondrina16 matches
1.31 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/160.94 goals/match
0.88 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/161.63 goals/match
1.22 xG/matchExpected goals15/151.26 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots15/1512.3 shots/match
3.93 shots/match ▲Shots on target15/153.27 shots/match
51.9% ●Possession15/1545.6%
5 corners/matchCorners15/15● 5.87 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls15/1517.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Jul 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGuaraniLondrina
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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