PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

CRB 2–1 Londrina · Serie B

CRB

WWWDL
2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

CRB won 2–1.

Shots
1218
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
1.390.76
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

CRB beat Londrina 2–1. Recorded in this match (CRB – Londrina): shots 12–18, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 1.39–0.76, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

CRB's recent record differs from the season

moderate

CRB's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.07 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for CRB, Londrina.

3.97 days ▲Rest daysCRB · Londrina2.86 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCRBLondrinaBaseline
Rest days3.97 days2.86 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots18 shotsCRB 12 shots, Londrina 18 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsCRB 2 shots, Londrina 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.39 xG0.76 xGCRB 1.39 xG, Londrina 0.76 xG
  • Possession51%49%CRB 51%, Londrina 49%
  • Corners3 corners9 cornersCRB 3 corners, Londrina 9 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls18 foulsCRB 19 fouls, Londrina 18 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CRB favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Londrina in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CRB14 matchesLondrina15 matches
1.07 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/150.93 goals/match
1.21 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/151.6 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲ 1.3 xG/match
13.4 shots/match ▲Shots14/1412.4 shots/match
3.64 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/143.29 shots/match
48.9% ●Possession14/1445.7%
4.43 corners/matchCorners14/14● 6 corners/match
16.1 fouls/matchFouls14/1417.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Jul 2023, 01:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCRBLondrina
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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