PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Ituano 1–1 Juventude · Serie B

Ituano

WDDLW
1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ituano and Juventude drew 1–1.

Shots
109
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
0.510.79
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ituano and Juventude drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Ituano – Juventude): shots 10–9, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 0.51–0.79, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ituano's recent record differs from the season

weak

Ituano's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.5 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.5 shots/match11.9 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots9 shotsItuano 10 shots, Juventude 9 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsItuano 3 shots, Juventude 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.51 xG0.79 xGItuano 0.51 xG, Juventude 0.79 xG
  • Possession61%39%Ituano 61%, Juventude 39%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersItuano 7 corners, Juventude 4 corners
  • Fouls25 fouls21 foulsItuano 25 fouls, Juventude 21 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ituano favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Juventude in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ituano16 matchesJuventude16 matches
1.06 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲ 1.19 goals/match
1.19 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲ 1.06 goals/match
0.9 xG/matchExpected goals15/15▲ 1.36 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots15/15▲ 13.4 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲ 4.2 shots/match
49.5%Possession15/15● 52.5%
4.4 corners/matchCorners15/15● 5.07 corners/match
17.7 fouls/matchFouls15/1516.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Jul 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsItuanoJuventude
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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