Serie B · 2023

Juventude 1–0 Vitória · Serie B

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Juventude won 1–0.

Shots
179
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.390.44
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Juventude beat Vitória 1–0. Recorded in this match (Juventude – Vitória): shots 17–9, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.39–0.44, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vitória's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vitória's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.6 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.6 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Juventude, Vitória.

3.75 days ▲Rest daysJuventude · Vitória3.75 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricJuventudeVitóriaBaseline
Rest days3.75 days3.75 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Vitória have a visible away split

moderate

Vitória's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match14.1 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots9 shotsJuventude 17 shots, Vitória 9 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsJuventude 3 shots, Vitória 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.39 xG0.44 xGJuventude 1.39 xG, Vitória 0.44 xG
  • Possession50%50%Juventude 50%, Vitória 50%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersJuventude 6 corners, Vitória 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls13 foulsJuventude 11 fouls, Vitória 13 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Juventude favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Vitória in 5 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Juventude15 matchesVitória15 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲ 1.6 goals/match
1.07 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲ 0.8 goals/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals14/141.37 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShots14/1414.1 shots/match
4.29 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/144 shots/match
53.4% ●Possession14/1449.7%
5.14 corners/match ●Corners14/144.5 corners/match
16.1 fouls/matchFouls14/1411.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Jul 2023, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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