PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Avaí 0–1 Ponte Preta · Serie B

Avaí

LDDDL
0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ponte Preta won 0–1.

Shots
1519
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
1.91.28
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ponte Preta beat Avaí 1–0. Recorded in this match (Avaí – Ponte Preta): shots 15–19, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 1.9–1.28, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Avaí's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Avaí's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.56 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.56 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Avaí have a visible home split

moderate

Avaí's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.1 shots/match13.1 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots19 shotsAvaí 15 shots, Ponte Preta 19 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsAvaí 3 shots, Ponte Preta 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.9 xG1.28 xGAvaí 1.9 xG, Ponte Preta 1.28 xG
  • Possession44%56%Avaí 44%, Ponte Preta 56%
  • Corners7 corners5 cornersAvaí 7 corners, Ponte Preta 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls14 foulsAvaí 13 fouls, Ponte Preta 14 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Avaí favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Ponte Preta in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Avaí16 matchesPonte Preta16 matches
0.56 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲ 0.63 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲ 0.81 goals/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals15/15▲ 1.26 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots15/1512.7 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲ 4.07 shots/match
49.5% ●Possession15/1546.3%
5.27 corners/match ●Corners15/154.07 corners/match
16.7 fouls/matchFouls15/1516.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Jul 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAvaíPonte Preta
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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