PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Mirassol 0–1 Ituano · Serie B

0–1Historical match

Ituano

LWDDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ituano won 0–1.

Shots
198
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
1.520.39
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ituano beat Mirassol 1–0. Recorded in this match (Mirassol – Ituano): shots 19–8, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 1.52–0.39, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ituano show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Ituano's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.9 shots/match ▲ShotsMirassol · Ituano12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMirassolItuanoBaseline
Shots15.9 shots/match12 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against11.6 shots/match15.2 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Mirassol have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.7% ●PossessionMirassol · Ituano48.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricMirassolItuanoBaseline
Possession57.7%48.6%49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots8 shotsMirassol 19 shots, Ituano 8 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsMirassol 7 shots, Ituano 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.52 xG0.39 xGMirassol 1.52 xG, Ituano 0.39 xG
  • Possession55%45%Mirassol 55%, Ituano 45%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersMirassol 5 corners, Ituano 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls23 foulsMirassol 13 fouls, Ituano 23 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Mirassol favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Ituano in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Mirassol15 matchesItuano15 matches
1.07 goals/matchGoals scored15/151.07 goals/match
0.93 goals/match ▲Goals allowed15/151.2 goals/match
1.55 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/140.93 xG/match
15.9 shots/match ▲Shots14/1412 shots/match
5.36 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/143.86 shots/match
57.7% ●Possession14/1448.6%
5.14 corners/match ●Corners14/144.21 corners/match
17.7 fouls/matchFouls14/1417.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 4 Jul 2023, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMirassolItuano
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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