Serie B · 2023

Juventude 1–1 ABC · Serie B

1–1Historical match

ABC

DLDWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Juventude and ABC drew 1–1.

Shots
193
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.960.4
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Juventude and ABC drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Juventude – ABC): shots 19–3, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.96–0.4, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

ABC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

ABC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.71 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

ABC have a visible away split

moderate

ABC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8 shots/match11.1 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

ABC show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

ABC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsJuventude · ABC11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricJuventudeABCBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match11.1 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against12.9 shots/match14.6 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots3 shotsJuventude 19 shots, ABC 3 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsJuventude 4 shots, ABC 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.96 xG0.4 xGJuventude 1.96 xG, ABC 0.4 xG
  • Possession61%39%Juventude 61%, ABC 39%
  • Corners4 corners1 cornerJuventude 4 corners, ABC 1 corner
  • Fouls15 fouls24 foulsJuventude 15 fouls, ABC 24 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Juventude favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · ABC in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Juventude17 matchesABC17 matches
1.18 goals/match ▲Goals scored17/170.71 goals/match
1.06 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/171.47 goals/match
1.39 xG/match ▲Expected goals16/161 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots16/1611.1 shots/match
4.19 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/163.5 shots/match
53% ●Possession16/1646.6%
5 corners/match ●Corners16/164.88 corners/match
16.3 fouls/matchFouls16/1615.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Jul 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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