PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

ABC 0–1 Guarani · Serie B

ABC

LDWLD
0–1Historical match

Guarani

WWLWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Guarani won 0–1.

Shots
614
Shots on target
22
Expected goals
0.280.87
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Guarani beat ABC 1–0. Recorded in this match (ABC – Guarani): shots 6–14, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 0.28–0.87, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

ABC have a visible home split

moderate

ABC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.2 shots/match10.8 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

ABC's recent record differs from the season

weak

ABC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.67 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots14 shotsABC 6 shots, Guarani 14 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots2 shotsABC 2 shots, Guarani 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.28 xG0.87 xGABC 0.28 xG, Guarani 0.87 xG
  • Possession51%49%ABC 51%, Guarani 49%
  • Corners2 corners3 cornersABC 2 corners, Guarani 3 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls14 foulsABC 17 fouls, Guarani 14 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: ABC favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Guarani in 9

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

ABC18 matchesGuarani18 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲ 1.28 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲ 0.83 goals/match
0.96 xG/matchExpected goals17/17▲ 1.16 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots17/17▲ 11.9 shots/match
3.41 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲ 3.71 shots/match
46.8%Possession17/17● 50.9%
4.71 corners/matchCorners17/17● 4.82 corners/match
15.5 fouls/matchFouls17/1712.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 20 Jul 2023, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsABCGuarani
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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