Serie B · 2023

Sport Recife 1–2 Vitória · Serie B

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vitória won 1–2.

Shots
169
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
0.910.86
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vitória beat Sport Recife 2–1. Recorded in this match (Sport Recife – Vitória): shots 16–9, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.91–0.86, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sport Recife's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sport Recife's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Vitória.

5 days ▲Rest daysSport Recife · Vitória3.15 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSport RecifeVitóriaBaseline
Rest days5 days3.15 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Vitória have a visible away split

moderate

Vitória's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match13.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots9 shotsSport Recife 16 shots, Vitória 9 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsSport Recife 2 shots, Vitória 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.91 xG0.86 xGSport Recife 0.91 xG, Vitória 0.86 xG
  • Possession58%42%Sport Recife 58%, Vitória 42%
  • Corners7 corners9 cornersSport Recife 7 corners, Vitória 9 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls12 foulsSport Recife 8 fouls, Vitória 12 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sport Recife favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Vitória in 2 · 6 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sport Recife18 matchesVitória18 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored18/181.56 goals/match
0.89 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲ 0.83 goals/match
1.24 xG/matchExpected goals18/17▲ 1.31 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots18/1713.6 shots/match
3.94 shots/matchShots on target18/173.94 shots/match
50.3% ●Possession18/1749.3%
6.11 corners/match ●Corners18/174.76 corners/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls18/1712.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 20 Jul 2023, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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