PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Avaí 2–0 Sampaio Correa · Serie B

Avaí

DDDLL
2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Avaí won 2–0.

Shots
715
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
1.430.57
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Avaí beat Sampaio Corrêa 2–0. Recorded in this match (Avaí – Sampaio Corrêa): shots 7–15, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 1.43–0.57, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sampaio Corrêa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sampaio Corrêa's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.72 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.72 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Avaí have a visible home split

moderate

Avaí's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15 shots/match12.7 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots15 shotsAvaí 7 shots, Sampaio Correa 15 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsAvaí 4 shots, Sampaio Correa 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.43 xG0.57 xGAvaí 1.43 xG, Sampaio Correa 0.57 xG
  • Possession48%52%Avaí 48%, Sampaio Correa 52%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersAvaí 2 corners, Sampaio Correa 4 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls19 foulsAvaí 16 fouls, Sampaio Correa 19 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Avaí favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Sampaio Correa in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Avaí17 matchesSampaio Correa18 matches
0.65 goals/matchGoals scored17/18▲ 0.72 goals/match
1.41 goals/matchGoals allowed17/18▲ 1.17 goals/match
1.17 xG/matchExpected goals16/16▲ 1.31 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots16/16▲ 15.4 shots/match
3.63 shots/matchShots on target16/163.5 shots/match
49.4%Possession16/16● 51.6%
5.06 corners/match ●Corners16/164.19 corners/match
16.6 fouls/matchFouls16/1614.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 20 Jul 2023, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAvaíSampaio Correa
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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