PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Londrina 1–0 Vila Nova FC · Serie B

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Londrina won 1–0.

Shots
219
Shots on target
17
Expected goals
0.510.76
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Londrina beat Vila Nova FC 1–0. Recorded in this match (Londrina – Vila Nova FC): shots 2–19, shots on target 1–7, expected goals 0.51–0.76, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Londrina's recent record differs from the season

weak

Londrina's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.75 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.75 shots/match11.6 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Vila Nova FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Vila Nova FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLondrina · Vila Nova FC19 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLondrinaVila Nova FCBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match19 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against15.1 shots/match11.4 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots2 shots19 shotsLondrina 2 shots, Vila Nova FC 19 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot7 shotsLondrina 1 shot, Vila Nova FC 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.51 xG0.76 xGLondrina 0.51 xG, Vila Nova FC 0.76 xG
  • Possession38%62%Londrina 38%, Vila Nova FC 62%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersLondrina 2 corners, Vila Nova FC 4 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls11 foulsLondrina 17 fouls, Vila Nova FC 11 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Londrina favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Vila Nova FC in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Londrina17 matchesVila Nova FC17 matches
0.94 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 1.24 goals/match
1.53 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 0.35 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals16/16▲ 1.56 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots16/16▲ 19 shots/match
3.13 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲ 5.38 shots/match
45.1%Possession16/16● 48%
5.63 corners/matchCorners16/16● 6 corners/match
17.7 fouls/matchFouls16/1615.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Jul 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLondrinaVila Nova FC
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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