PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Ponte Preta 1–0 Londrina · Serie B

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ponte Preta won 1–0.

Shots
720
Shots on target
22
Expected goals
0.860.38
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ponte Preta beat Londrina 1–0. Recorded in this match (Ponte Preta – Londrina): shots 7–20, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 0.86–0.38, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Londrina's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Londrina's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots16.4 shots/match12.5 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots20 shotsPonte Preta 7 shots, Londrina 20 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots2 shotsPonte Preta 2 shots, Londrina 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.86 xG0.38 xGPonte Preta 0.86 xG, Londrina 0.38 xG
  • Possession38%62%Ponte Preta 38%, Londrina 62%
  • Corners2 corners13 cornersPonte Preta 2 corners, Londrina 13 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls16 foulsPonte Preta 20 fouls, Londrina 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Ponte Preta
0Draws
1Londrina
Londrina — Ponte Preta · Serie B3–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ponte Preta favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Londrina in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ponte Preta25 matchesLondrina25 matches
0.64 goals/matchGoals scored25/25▲ 0.8 goals/match
0.8 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/251.48 goals/match
1.1 xG/matchExpected goals24/241.07 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots24/24▲ 12.5 shots/match
3.63 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/243 shots/match
44.5%Possession24/24● 46%
4.04 corners/matchCorners24/24● 5.92 corners/match
16.3 fouls/matchFouls24/2417.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 26 Aug 2023, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPonte PretaLondrina
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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