PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Sport Recife 1–2 Ituano · Serie B

1–2Historical match

Ituano

DWDDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ituano won 1–2.

Shots
183
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
1.690.26
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ituano beat Sport Recife 2–1. Recorded in this match (Sport Recife – Ituano): shots 18–3, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 1.69–0.26, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ituano's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ituano's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.04 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.04 goals/match1.04 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots3 shotsSport Recife 18 shots, Ituano 3 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsSport Recife 4 shots, Ituano 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.69 xG0.26 xGSport Recife 1.69 xG, Ituano 0.26 xG
  • Possession67%33%Sport Recife 67%, Ituano 33%
  • Corners11 corners3 cornersSport Recife 11 corners, Ituano 3 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls15 foulsSport Recife 10 fouls, Ituano 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Sport Recife
1Draws
0Ituano
Ituano — Sport Recife · Serie B1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sport Recife favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Ituano in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sport Recife25 matchesItuano25 matches
1.4 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/251.04 goals/match
0.88 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/251 goal/match
1.2 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/240.99 xG/match
13.2 shots/match ▲Shots25/2412.5 shots/match
4.04 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/243.75 shots/match
50.2% ●Possession25/2449.8%
6.12 corners/match ●Corners25/245.13 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls25/2417.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 26 Aug 2023, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSport RecifeItuano
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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