PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Londrina 1–1 Tombense · Serie B

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Londrina and Tombense drew 1–1.

Shots
226
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.80.34
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Londrina and Tombense drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Londrina – Tombense): shots 22–6, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.8–0.34, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Tombense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Tombense's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.04 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.04 goals/match1.02 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.24 corners/match ●CornersLondrina · Tombense6.12 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricLondrinaTombenseBaseline
Corners6.24 corners/match6.12 corners/match5.08 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots6 shotsLondrina 22 shots, Tombense 6 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsLondrina 6 shots, Tombense 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.8 xG0.34 xGLondrina 1.8 xG, Tombense 0.34 xG
  • Possession65%35%Londrina 65%, Tombense 35%
  • Corners14 corners1 cornerLondrina 14 corners, Tombense 1 corner
  • Fouls9 fouls14 foulsLondrina 9 fouls, Tombense 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Londrina
0Draws
0Tombense
Tombense — Londrina · Serie B0–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Londrina favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Tombense in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Londrina26 matchesTombense26 matches
0.81 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 1.04 goals/match
1.46 goals/matchGoals allowed26/261.46 goals/match
1.1 xG/matchExpected goals25/25▲ 1.42 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots25/25▲ 14.7 shots/match
3.12 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲ 4.4 shots/match
46.8%Possession25/25● 51.2%
6.24 corners/match ●Corners25/256.12 corners/match
17.2 fouls/matchFouls25/2512.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Sept 2023, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLondrinaTombense
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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