Serie B · 2023

Tombense 3–0 ABC · Serie B

3–0Historical match

ABC

LDLDD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Tombense won 3–0.

Shots
1613
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
0.810.51
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Tombense beat ABC 3–0. Recorded in this match (Tombense – ABC): shots 16–13, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 0.81–0.51, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Tombense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Tombense's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.11 goals/match1.04 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

ABC have a visible away split

moderate

ABC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.31 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.31 shots/match10.5 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

ABC show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

ABC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.8 shots/match ▲ShotsTombense · ABC10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTombenseABCBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match10.5 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against12.9 shots/match14.1 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots13 shotsTombense 16 shots, ABC 13 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsTombense 6 shots, ABC 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.81 xG0.51 xGTombense 0.81 xG, ABC 0.51 xG
  • Possession48%52%Tombense 48%, ABC 52%
  • Corners5 corners7 cornersTombense 5 corners, ABC 7 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls9 foulsTombense 12 fouls, ABC 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Tombense
0Draws
1ABC
ABC — Tombense · Serie B1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Tombense favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · ABC in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Tombense27 matchesABC27 matches
1.11 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/270.59 goals/match
1.41 goals/matchGoals allowed27/271.37 goals/match
1.4 xG/match ▲Expected goals26/260.88 xG/match
14.8 shots/match ▲Shots26/2610.5 shots/match
4.46 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/263.23 shots/match
51.1% ●Possession26/2648.2%
6.08 corners/match ●Corners26/264.65 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls26/2615.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 8 Sept 2023, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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