PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Ceará 1–1 Ponte Preta · Serie B

Ceará

LDDWL
1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ceará and Ponte Preta drew 1–1.

Shots
1612
Shots on target
74
Expected goals
0.951.25
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ceará and Ponte Preta drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Ceará – Ponte Preta): shots 16–12, shots on target 7–4, expected goals 0.95–1.25, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ponte Preta's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ponte Preta's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.63 goals/match1.04 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Ceará have recorded the higher season possession share.

53.5% ●PossessionCeará · Ponte Preta44.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCearáPonte PretaBaseline
Possession53.5%44.8%49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots12 shotsCeará 16 shots, Ponte Preta 12 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots4 shotsCeará 7 shots, Ponte Preta 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.95 xG1.25 xGCeará 0.95 xG, Ponte Preta 1.25 xG
  • Possession60%40%Ceará 60%, Ponte Preta 40%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersCeará 4 corners, Ponte Preta 5 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls19 foulsCeará 18 fouls, Ponte Preta 19 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Ceará
1Draws
0Ponte Preta
Ponte Preta — Ceará · Serie B0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ceará favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Ponte Preta in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ceará24 matchesPonte Preta24 matches
1 goal/match ▲Goals scored24/240.63 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed24/24▲ 0.83 goals/match
1.25 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/231.11 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots24/2312 shots/match
4.25 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/233.7 shots/match
53.5% ●Possession24/2344.8%
5.33 corners/match ●Corners24/234.13 corners/match
17.1 fouls/matchFouls24/2316.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 21 Aug 2023, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCearáPonte Preta
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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