PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Chapecoense 0–1 Guarani · Serie B

0–1Historical match

Guarani

DLWDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Guarani won 0–1.

Shots
2810
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
1.340.44
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Guarani beat Chapecoense 1–0. Recorded in this match (Chapecoense – Guarani): shots 28–10, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 1.34–0.44, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Chapecoense, Guarani.

5 days ▲Rest daysChapecoense · Guarani3.15 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricChapecoenseGuaraniBaseline
Rest days5 days3.15 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Chapecoense's recent record differs from the season

weak

Chapecoense's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.96 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.96 goals/match1.02 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots28 shots10 shotsChapecoense 28 shots, Guarani 10 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsChapecoense 4 shots, Guarani 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.34 xG0.44 xGChapecoense 1.34 xG, Guarani 0.44 xG
  • Possession51%49%Chapecoense 51%, Guarani 49%
  • Corners8 corners4 cornersChapecoense 8 corners, Guarani 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls13 foulsChapecoense 14 fouls, Guarani 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Chapecoense
1Draws
0Guarani
Guarani — Chapecoense · Serie B3–3

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Chapecoense favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Guarani in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Chapecoense27 matchesGuarani27 matches
0.96 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲ 1.22 goals/match
1.15 goals/matchGoals allowed27/27▲ 0.74 goals/match
1.24 xG/match ▲Expected goals26/261.17 xG/match
13.7 shots/match ▲Shots26/2611.1 shots/match
3.96 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/263.62 shots/match
49.3%Possession26/26● 49.5%
5.62 corners/match ●Corners26/264.58 corners/match
15.9 fouls/matchFouls26/2612.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 6 Sept 2023, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsChapecoenseGuarani
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required