PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Guarani 1–0 Ponte Preta · Serie B

Guarani

DDLWD
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Guarani won 1–0.

Shots
128
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
0.780.36
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Guarani beat Ponte Preta 1–0. Recorded in this match (Guarani – Ponte Preta): shots 12–8, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 0.78–0.36, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Guarani's recent record differs from the season

weak

Guarani's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.8 shots/match11.1 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots8 shotsGuarani 12 shots, Ponte Preta 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsGuarani 4 shots, Ponte Preta 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.78 xG0.36 xGGuarani 0.78 xG, Ponte Preta 0.36 xG
  • Possession52%48%Guarani 52%, Ponte Preta 48%
  • Corners6 corners1 cornerGuarani 6 corners, Ponte Preta 1 corner
  • Fouls22 fouls15 foulsGuarani 22 fouls, Ponte Preta 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Guarani
1Draws
0Ponte Preta
Ponte Preta — Guarani · Serie B1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Guarani favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Ponte Preta in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Guarani26 matchesPonte Preta26 matches
1.23 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/260.62 goals/match
0.77 goals/matchGoals allowed26/260.81 goals/match
1.2 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/251.07 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots25/2511.6 shots/match
3.68 shots/matchShots on target25/253.64 shots/match
49.6% ●Possession25/2544.6%
4.6 corners/match ●Corners25/253.92 corners/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls25/2516.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Sept 2023, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGuaraniPonte Preta
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required