PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Ceará 1–0 Criciúma · Serie B

Ceará

DWLDD
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ceará won 1–0.

Shots
1817
Shots on target
76
Expected goals
2.010.79
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ceará beat Criciúma 1–0. Recorded in this match (Ceará – Criciúma): shots 18–17, shots on target 7–6, expected goals 2.01–0.79, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Criciúma's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Criciúma's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.08 goals/match1.02 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Criciúma have a visible away split

moderate

Criciúma's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.2 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match13.6 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots17 shotsCeará 18 shots, Criciúma 17 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots6 shotsCeará 7 shots, Criciúma 6 shots
  • Expected goals2.01 xG0.79 xGCeará 2.01 xG, Criciúma 0.79 xG
  • Possession45%55%Ceará 45%, Criciúma 55%
  • Corners8 corners4 cornersCeará 8 corners, Criciúma 4 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls10 foulsCeará 15 fouls, Criciúma 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Ceará
0Draws
0Criciúma
Criciúma — Ceará · Serie B1–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ceará favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Criciúma in 2 · 7 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ceará26 matchesCriciúma26 matches
1.04 goals/matchGoals scored26/261.08 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed26/26▲ 0.77 goals/match
1.25 xG/match ▲Expected goals26/251.04 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots26/2513.6 shots/match
4.35 shots/matchShots on target26/254.24 shots/match
52.4% ●Possession26/2549.7%
5.38 corners/match ●Corners26/255.04 corners/match
17.2 fouls/matchFouls26/2513.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Sept 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCearáCriciúma
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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