Serie B · 2023

Criciúma 2–1 Mirassol · Serie B

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Criciúma won 2–1.

Shots
410
Shots on target
12
Expected goals
0.191.17
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

Criciúma beat Mirassol 2–1. Recorded in this match (Criciúma – Mirassol): shots 4–10, shots on target 1–2, expected goals 0.19–1.17, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Mirassol's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Mirassol's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.96 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.96 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Criciúma show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Criciúma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.1 shots/match ▲ShotsCriciúma · Mirassol13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCriciúmaMirassolBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match13.7 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against14.1 shots/match10.6 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Mirassol have recorded the higher season possession share.

49.3%PossessionCriciúma · Mirassol● 58.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCriciúmaMirassolBaseline
Possession49.3%58.5%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots4 shots10 shotsCriciúma 4 shots, Mirassol 10 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot2 shotsCriciúma 1 shot, Mirassol 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.19 xG1.17 xGCriciúma 0.19 xG, Mirassol 1.17 xG
  • Possession35%65%Criciúma 35%, Mirassol 65%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersCriciúma 3 corners, Mirassol 4 corners
  • Fouls22 fouls18 foulsCriciúma 22 fouls, Mirassol 18 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Criciúma
0Draws
1Mirassol
Mirassol — Criciúma · Serie B1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Criciúma favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Mirassol in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Criciúma28 matchesMirassol28 matches
1.18 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/280.96 goals/match
0.86 goals/match ▲Goals allowed28/280.93 goals/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals27/27▲ 1.34 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots27/2713.7 shots/match
4.11 shots/matchShots on target27/274.26 shots/match
49.3%Possession27/27● 58.5%
4.93 corners/matchCorners27/27● 4.96 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls27/2716.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 Sept 2023, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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