PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Atlético Goianiense 3–0 Guarani · Serie B

3–0Historical match

Guarani

DLDDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Goianiense won 3–0.

Shots
202
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
1.680.09
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Goianiense beat Guarani 3–0. Recorded in this match (Atlético Goianiense – Guarani): shots 20–2, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 1.68–0.09, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Guarani's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Guarani's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.11 goals/match1.08 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Guarani have a visible away split

moderate

Guarani's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.58 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.58 shots/match11.9 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots2 shotsAtlético Goianiense 20 shots, Guarani 2 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotAtlético Goianiense 6 shots, Guarani 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.68 xG0.09 xGAtlético Goianiense 1.68 xG, Guarani 0.09 xG
  • Possession67%33%Atlético Goianiense 67%, Guarani 33%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersAtlético Goianiense 7 corners, Guarani 2 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls8 foulsAtlético Goianiense 7 fouls, Guarani 8 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Atlético Goianiense
0Draws
1Guarani
Guarani — Atlético Goianiense · Serie B1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Goianiense favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Guarani in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Goianiense38 matchesGuarani38 matches
1.47 goals/match ▲Goals scored38/381.11 goals/match
1.18 goals/matchGoals allowed38/38▲ 0.87 goals/match
1.31 xG/match ▲Expected goals37/371.17 xG/match
13.7 shots/match ▲Shots37/3711.9 shots/match
4.62 shots/match ▲Shots on target37/373.73 shots/match
53.7% ●Possession37/3750.1%
5.57 corners/match ●Corners37/375.24 corners/match
14.4 fouls/matchFouls37/3712.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples38 / 38home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Nov 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlético GoianienseGuarani
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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