PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

ABC 3–2 Vila Nova FC · Serie B

ABC

LDLDW
3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

ABC won 3–2.

Shots
722
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
1.261.38
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

ABC beat Vila Nova FC 3–2. Recorded in this match (ABC – Vila Nova FC): shots 7–22, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 1.26–1.38, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

ABC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

ABC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.74 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.74 goals/match1.08 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Vila Nova FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Vila Nova FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.6 shots/match ▲ShotsABC · Vila Nova FC17.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricABCVila Nova FCBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match17.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against15.1 shots/match11.5 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots22 shotsABC 7 shots, Vila Nova FC 22 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsABC 3 shots, Vila Nova FC 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.26 xG1.38 xGABC 1.26 xG, Vila Nova FC 1.38 xG
  • Possession40%60%ABC 40%, Vila Nova FC 60%
  • Corners3 corners12 cornersABC 3 corners, Vila Nova FC 12 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls15 foulsABC 16 fouls, Vila Nova FC 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0ABC
1Draws
0Vila Nova FC
Vila Nova FC — ABC · Serie B1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: ABC favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Vila Nova FC in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

ABC38 matchesVila Nova FC38 matches
0.74 goals/matchGoals scored38/38▲ 1.29 goals/match
1.34 goals/matchGoals allowed38/38▲ 0.79 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals37/37▲ 1.53 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots37/37▲ 17.3 shots/match
3.41 shots/matchShots on target37/37▲ 5.22 shots/match
47.1%Possession37/37● 48.4%
4.38 corners/matchCorners37/37● 5.41 corners/match
15.5 fouls/matchFouls37/3714.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples38 / 38home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Nov 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsABCVila Nova FC
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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