PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Chapecoense 3–1 Vitória · Serie B

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Chapecoense won 3–1.

Shots
2211
Shots on target
83
Expected goals
1.530.72
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Chapecoense beat Vitória 3–1. Recorded in this match (Chapecoense – Vitória): shots 22–11, shots on target 8–3, expected goals 1.53–0.72, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Chapecoense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Chapecoense's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.08 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Chapecoense have a visible home split

moderate

Chapecoense's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.1 shots/match13.7 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots11 shotsChapecoense 22 shots, Vitória 11 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots3 shotsChapecoense 8 shots, Vitória 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.53 xG0.72 xGChapecoense 1.53 xG, Vitória 0.72 xG
  • Possession54%46%Chapecoense 54%, Vitória 46%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerChapecoense 5 corners, Vitória 1 corner
  • Fouls16 fouls18 foulsChapecoense 16 fouls, Vitória 18 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Chapecoense
0Draws
1Vitória
Vitória — Chapecoense · Serie B1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Chapecoense favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Vitória in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Chapecoense38 matchesVitória38 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored38/38▲ 1.32 goals/match
1.13 goals/matchGoals allowed38/38▲ 0.82 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals37/37▲ 1.38 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShots37/3713.5 shots/match
3.97 shots/matchShots on target37/373.92 shots/match
50.1%Possession37/37● 51.1%
4.92 corners/match ●Corners37/374.81 corners/match
15.3 fouls/matchFouls37/3713.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples38 / 38home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Nov 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsChapecoenseVitória
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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