PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Vitória 1–0 Sport Recife · Serie B

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vitória won 1–0.

Shots
1913
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
2.561.8
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vitória beat Sport Recife 1–0. Recorded in this match (Vitória – Sport Recife): shots 19–13, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 2.56–1.8, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sport Recife's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sport Recife's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.49 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.49 goals/match1.05 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots13 shotsVitória 19 shots, Sport Recife 13 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsVitória 5 shots, Sport Recife 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.56 xG1.8 xGVitória 2.56 xG, Sport Recife 1.8 xG
  • Possession51%49%Vitória 51%, Sport Recife 49%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersVitória 4 corners, Sport Recife 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls11 foulsVitória 14 fouls, Sport Recife 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Vitória
0Draws
0Sport Recife
Sport Recife — Vitória · Serie B1–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vitória favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Sport Recife in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vitória37 matchesSport Recife37 matches
1.32 goals/matchGoals scored37/37▲ 1.49 goals/match
0.76 goals/match ▲Goals allowed37/371.05 goals/match
1.4 xG/match ▲Expected goals36/371.32 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots36/3713.5 shots/match
3.94 shots/matchShots on target36/37▲ 4.38 shots/match
51.2%Possession36/37● 51.3%
4.92 corners/matchCorners36/37● 6.43 corners/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls36/3712 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples37 / 37home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Nov 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVitóriaSport Recife
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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