PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Botafogo-SP 0–1 Londrina · Serie B

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Londrina won 0–1.

Shots
1610
Shots on target
85
Expected goals
1.140.84
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Londrina beat Botafogo-SP 1–0. Recorded in this match (Botafogo-SP – Londrina): shots 16–10, shots on target 8–5, expected goals 1.14–0.84, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Londrina's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Londrina's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.82 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.82 goals/match1.08 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Botafogo-SP have a visible home split

moderate

Botafogo-SP's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots10 shotsBotafogo-SP 16 shots, Londrina 10 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots5 shotsBotafogo-SP 8 shots, Londrina 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.14 xG0.84 xGBotafogo-SP 1.14 xG, Londrina 0.84 xG
  • Possession44%56%Botafogo-SP 44%, Londrina 56%
  • Corners8 corners4 cornersBotafogo-SP 8 corners, Londrina 4 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls7 foulsBotafogo-SP 15 fouls, Londrina 7 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Botafogo-SP
0Draws
0Londrina
Londrina — Botafogo-SP · Serie B1–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo-SP favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Londrina in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo-SP38 matchesLondrina38 matches
0.66 goals/matchGoals scored38/38▲ 0.82 goals/match
1.11 goals/match ▲Goals allowed38/381.53 goals/match
0.9 xG/matchExpected goals38/37▲ 1.16 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots38/37▲ 12.9 shots/match
3.26 shots/matchShots on target38/37▲ 3.76 shots/match
44.6%Possession38/37● 46.9%
5.26 corners/matchCorners38/37● 6.27 corners/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls38/3716.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples38 / 38home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Nov 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBotafogo-SPLondrina
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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