PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Londrina 0–1 Novorizontino · Serie B

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Novorizontino won 0–1.

Shots
1019
Shots on target
37
Expected goals
0.271.32
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Novorizontino beat Londrina 1–0. Recorded in this match (Londrina – Novorizontino): shots 10–19, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 0.27–1.32, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.33 corners/match ●CornersLondrina · Novorizontino6.3 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricLondrinaNovorizontinoBaseline
Corners6.33 corners/match6.3 corners/match5.06 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Novorizontino show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Novorizontino's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsLondrina · Novorizontino17.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLondrinaNovorizontinoBaseline
Shots13 shots/match17.1 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against15 shots/match10.5 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots19 shotsLondrina 10 shots, Novorizontino 19 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsLondrina 3 shots, Novorizontino 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.27 xG1.32 xGLondrina 0.27 xG, Novorizontino 1.32 xG
  • Possession46%54%Londrina 46%, Novorizontino 54%
  • Corners9 corners7 cornersLondrina 9 corners, Novorizontino 7 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls14 foulsLondrina 11 fouls, Novorizontino 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Londrina
0Draws
1Novorizontino
Novorizontino — Londrina · Serie B3–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Londrina favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Novorizontino in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Londrina37 matchesNovorizontino37 matches
0.81 goals/matchGoals scored37/37▲ 1.24 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed37/37▲ 0.81 goals/match
1.17 xG/matchExpected goals36/37▲ 1.73 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots36/37▲ 17.1 shots/match
3.72 shots/matchShots on target36/37▲ 5.3 shots/match
46.6%Possession36/37● 49.2%
6.33 corners/match ●Corners36/376.3 corners/match
16.7 fouls/matchFouls36/3717.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples37 / 37home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Nov 2023, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLondrinaNovorizontino
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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