PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Botafogo-SP 1–0 Vila Nova FC · Serie B

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Botafogo-SP won 1–0.

Shots
1716
Shots on target
117
Expected goals
2.252
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo-SP beat Vila Nova FC 1–0. Recorded in this match (Botafogo-SP – Vila Nova FC): shots 17–16, shots on target 11–7, expected goals 2.25–2, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vila Nova FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Vila Nova FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.1 shots/match ▲ShotsBotafogo-SP · Vila Nova FC12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBotafogo-SPVila Nova FCBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match12 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against10.8 shots/match15.4 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots16 shotsBotafogo-SP 17 shots, Vila Nova FC 16 shots
  • Shots on target11 shots7 shotsBotafogo-SP 11 shots, Vila Nova FC 7 shots
  • Expected goals2.25 xG2 xGBotafogo-SP 2.25 xG, Vila Nova FC 2 xG
  • Possession36%64%Botafogo-SP 36%, Vila Nova FC 64%
  • Corners10 corners5 cornersBotafogo-SP 10 corners, Vila Nova FC 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls12 foulsBotafogo-SP 13 fouls, Vila Nova FC 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Botafogo-SP
0Draws
2Vila Nova FC
Vila Nova FC — Botafogo-SP · Serie B3–1
Botafogo-SP — Vila Nova FC · Serie B0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo-SP favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Vila Nova FC in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo-SP9 matchesVila Nova FC10 matches
0.56 goals/matchGoals scored9/10▲ 1.2 goals/match
1.11 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/101.3 goals/match
1.02 xG/matchExpected goals9/10▲ 1.2 xG/match
13.1 shots/match ▲Shots9/1012 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target9/103.9 shots/match
48.2%Possession9/10● 52.4%
5.33 corners/match ●Corners9/104 corners/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls9/1013.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Jun 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBotafogo-SPVila Nova FC
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
Head-to-headBotafogo-SP — Vila Nova FC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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