PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Vila Nova FC 1–0 Mirassol · Serie B

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vila Nova FC won 1–0.

Shots
1313
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
1.181.47
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vila Nova FC beat Mirassol 1–0. Recorded in this match (Vila Nova FC – Mirassol): shots 13–13, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 1.18–1.47, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Mirassol's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Mirassol's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.09 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.09 goals/match1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots13 shotsVila Nova FC 13 shots, Mirassol 13 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsVila Nova FC 3 shots, Mirassol 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.18 xG1.47 xGVila Nova FC 1.18 xG, Mirassol 1.47 xG
  • Possession40%60%Vila Nova FC 40%, Mirassol 60%
  • Corners6 corners9 cornersVila Nova FC 6 corners, Mirassol 9 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls17 foulsVila Nova FC 17 fouls, Mirassol 17 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Vila Nova FC
1Draws
0Mirassol
Vila Nova FC — Mirassol · Serie B2–0
Mirassol — Vila Nova FC · Serie B1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vila Nova FC favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Mirassol in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vila Nova FC11 matchesMirassol11 matches
1.18 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/111.09 goals/match
1.18 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲ 0.82 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goals11/11▲ 1.48 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots11/1111.5 shots/match
3.82 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/113.45 shots/match
51.3% ●Possession11/1149.2%
4.18 corners/matchCorners11/11● 4.91 corners/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls11/1111.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 21 Jun 2024, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVila Nova FCMirassol
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
Head-to-headVila Nova FC — Mirassol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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