PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Sport Recife 1–0 Mirassol · Serie B

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sport Recife won 1–0.

Shots
1415
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
12.02
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sport Recife beat Mirassol 1–0. Recorded in this match (Sport Recife – Mirassol): shots 14–15, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1–2.02, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sport Recife's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sport Recife's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.44 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.44 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots15 shotsSport Recife 14 shots, Mirassol 15 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsSport Recife 4 shots, Mirassol 3 shots
  • Expected goals1 xG2.02 xGSport Recife 1 xG, Mirassol 2.02 xG
  • Possession49%51%Sport Recife 49%, Mirassol 51%
  • Corners12 corners4 cornersSport Recife 12 corners, Mirassol 4 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls9 foulsSport Recife 20 fouls, Mirassol 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Sport Recife
1Draws
1Mirassol
Mirassol — Sport Recife · Serie B2–1
Sport Recife — Mirassol · Serie B0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sport Recife favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Mirassol in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sport Recife9 matchesMirassol10 matches
1.44 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/101.2 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed9/10▲ 0.8 goals/match
1.47 xG/matchExpected goals9/101.49 xG/match
13.9 shots/match ▲Shots9/1011.4 shots/match
3.89 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/103.4 shots/match
53.3% ●Possession9/1048.1%
6.89 corners/match ●Corners9/104.5 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls9/1010.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 17 Jun 2024, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSport RecifeMirassol
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
Head-to-headSport Recife — Mirassol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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