Serie B · 2024

Brusque 1–0 Sport Recife · Serie B

Brusque

LDLLL
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Brusque won 1–0.

Shots
1015
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
0.791.43
Possession
29%71%

Full time

What the match recorded

Brusque beat Sport Recife 1–0. Recorded in this match (Brusque – Sport Recife): shots 10–15, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 0.79–1.43, possession 29%–71%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Brusque's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Brusque's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.7 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.7 goals/match1.04 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sport Recife show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Sport Recife's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.7 shots/match ▲ShotsBrusque · Sport Recife12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBrusqueSport RecifeBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against15.6 shots/match13 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Sport Recife have recorded the higher season possession share.

48%PossessionBrusque · Sport Recife● 57.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBrusqueSport RecifeBaseline
Possession48%57.2%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots15 shotsBrusque 10 shots, Sport Recife 15 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsBrusque 3 shots, Sport Recife 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.79 xG1.43 xGBrusque 0.79 xG, Sport Recife 1.43 xG
  • Possession29%71%Brusque 29%, Sport Recife 71%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersBrusque 5 corners, Sport Recife 6 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls11 foulsBrusque 14 fouls, Sport Recife 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Brusque
0Draws
1Sport Recife
Sport Recife — Brusque · Serie B4–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Brusque favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Sport Recife in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Brusque23 matchesSport Recife21 matches
0.7 goals/matchGoals scored23/21▲ 1.19 goals/match
1.26 goals/matchGoals allowed23/21▲ 1.05 goals/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals23/21▲ 1.24 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots23/21▲ 12.9 shots/match
3.39 shots/matchShots on target23/21▲ 3.81 shots/match
48%Possession23/21● 57.2%
4.3 corners/matchCorners23/21● 6.14 corners/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls23/2113.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 28 Aug 2024, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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