PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Coritiba 1–0 Avaí · Serie B

1–0Historical match

Avaí

DLWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Coritiba won 1–0.

Shots
2010
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
1.031.33
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Coritiba beat Avaí 1–0. Recorded in this match (Coritiba – Avaí): shots 20–10, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 1.03–1.33, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Avaí's recent record differs from the season

weak

Avaí's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.78 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.78 goals/match1.04 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots10 shotsCoritiba 20 shots, Avaí 10 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsCoritiba 5 shots, Avaí 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.03 xG1.33 xGCoritiba 1.03 xG, Avaí 1.33 xG
  • Possession47%53%Coritiba 47%, Avaí 53%
  • Corners8 corners1 cornerCoritiba 8 corners, Avaí 1 corner
  • Fouls16 fouls20 foulsCoritiba 16 fouls, Avaí 20 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Coritiba
0Draws
2Avaí
Avaí — Coritiba · Serie B1–0
Coritiba — Avaí · Serie A1–0
Avaí — Coritiba · Serie A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Coritiba favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Avaí in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Coritiba23 matchesAvaí23 matches
0.87 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/230.78 goals/match
0.87 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲ 0.7 goals/match
1.19 xG/matchExpected goals23/231.17 xG/match
14.3 shots/match ▲Shots23/2312.4 shots/match
4.7 shots/match ▲Shots on target23/233.43 shots/match
49.1% ●Possession23/2349%
5.7 corners/match ●Corners23/234.96 corners/match
14.4 fouls/matchFouls23/2314 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 28 Aug 2024, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCoritibaAvaí
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
Head-to-headCoritiba — Avaí
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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