PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Sport Recife 0–1 Coritiba · Serie B

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Coritiba won 0–1.

Shots
1115
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
0.821.08
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Coritiba beat Sport Recife 1–0. Recorded in this match (Sport Recife – Coritiba): shots 11–15, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.82–1.08, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sport Recife's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sport Recife's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots15 shotsSport Recife 11 shots, Coritiba 15 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsSport Recife 2 shots, Coritiba 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.82 xG1.08 xGSport Recife 0.82 xG, Coritiba 1.08 xG
  • Possession58%42%Sport Recife 58%, Coritiba 42%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersSport Recife 7 corners, Coritiba 2 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls10 foulsSport Recife 16 fouls, Coritiba 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Sport Recife
0Draws
0Coritiba
Coritiba — Sport Recife · Serie B0–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sport Recife favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Coritiba in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sport Recife20 matchesCoritiba22 matches
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored20/220.86 goals/match
1.05 goals/matchGoals allowed20/22▲ 0.91 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals20/221.19 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots20/22▲ 14 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target20/22▲ 4.68 shots/match
56.5% ●Possession20/2249.2%
6.15 corners/match ●Corners20/225.59 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls20/2214.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 23 Aug 2024, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSport RecifeCoritiba
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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