PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Avaí 1–0 Paysandu · Serie B

Avaí

DDLWW
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Avaí won 1–0.

Shots
134
Shots on target
22
Expected goals
0.880.39
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Avaí beat Paysandu SC 1–0. Recorded in this match (Avaí – Paysandu SC): shots 13–4, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 0.88–0.39, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Paysandu SC's recent record differs from the season

weak

Paysandu SC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.05 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.05 goals/match1.05 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots4 shotsAvaí 13 shots, Paysandu 4 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots2 shotsAvaí 2 shots, Paysandu 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.88 xG0.39 xGAvaí 0.88 xG, Paysandu 0.39 xG
  • Possession44%56%Avaí 44%, Paysandu 56%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersAvaí 4 corners, Paysandu 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls11 foulsAvaí 12 fouls, Paysandu 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Avaí
1Draws
0Paysandu
Paysandu — Avaí · Serie B0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Avaí favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Paysandu in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Avaí22 matchesPaysandu22 matches
0.82 goals/matchGoals scored22/22▲ 1.05 goals/match
0.68 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/221.23 goals/match
1.16 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/221.05 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShots22/2212 shots/match
3.45 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲ 4 shots/match
48.8%Possession22/22● 54.8%
5.14 corners/matchCorners22/22● 6.09 corners/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls22/2216 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 23 Aug 2024, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAvaíPaysandu
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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