PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Ceará 1–0 Novorizontino · Serie B

Ceará

DWLLW
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ceará won 1–0.

Shots
109
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
1.560.36
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ceará beat Novorizontino 1–0. Recorded in this match (Ceará – Novorizontino): shots 10–9, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 1.56–0.36, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Ceará.

5.04 days ▲Rest daysCeará · Novorizontino6.08 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCearáNovorizontinoBaseline
Rest days5.04 days6.08 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

15 fouls/matchFoulsCeará · Novorizontino17 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricCearáNovorizontinoBaseline
Fouls15 fouls/match17 fouls/match13.7 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots9 shotsCeará 10 shots, Novorizontino 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsCeará 5 shots, Novorizontino 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.56 xG0.36 xGCeará 1.56 xG, Novorizontino 0.36 xG
  • Possession55%45%Ceará 55%, Novorizontino 45%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersCeará 4 corners, Novorizontino 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls18 foulsCeará 12 fouls, Novorizontino 18 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Ceará
0Draws
2Novorizontino
Novorizontino — Ceará · Serie B0–3
Novorizontino — Ceará · Serie B4–1
Ceará — Novorizontino · Serie B0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ceará favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Novorizontino in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ceará23 matchesNovorizontino23 matches
1.57 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/231.09 goals/match
1.22 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲ 0.83 goals/match
1.54 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/231.02 xG/match
15 shots/match ▲Shots23/2312.7 shots/match
4.83 shots/match ▲Shots on target23/233.65 shots/match
48.2% ●Possession23/2342%
7.13 corners/match ●Corners23/234.48 corners/match
15 fouls/matchFouls23/2317 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 27 Aug 2024, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCearáNovorizontino
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
Head-to-headCeará — Novorizontino
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required