PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Novorizontino 2–0 Vila Nova FC · Serie B

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Novorizontino won 2–0.

Shots
1812
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.70.77
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Novorizontino beat Vila Nova FC 2–0. Recorded in this match (Novorizontino – Vila Nova FC): shots 18–12, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.7–0.77, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vila Nova FC's recent record differs from the season

weak

Vila Nova FC's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.6 shots/match11.5 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots12 shotsNovorizontino 18 shots, Vila Nova FC 12 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsNovorizontino 6 shots, Vila Nova FC 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.7 xG0.77 xGNovorizontino 1.7 xG, Vila Nova FC 0.77 xG
  • Possession46%54%Novorizontino 46%, Vila Nova FC 54%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersNovorizontino 5 corners, Vila Nova FC 4 corners
  • Fouls28 fouls14 foulsNovorizontino 28 fouls, Vila Nova FC 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Novorizontino
0Draws
2Vila Nova FC
Vila Nova FC — Novorizontino · Serie B2–1
Novorizontino — Vila Nova FC · Serie B3–1
Vila Nova FC — Novorizontino · Serie B2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Novorizontino favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Vila Nova FC in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Novorizontino24 matchesVila Nova FC24 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored24/241.17 goals/match
0.79 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/241.13 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals24/24▲ 1.12 xG/match
13 shots/match ▲Shots24/2411.5 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target24/243.75 shots/match
42.2%Possession24/24● 49.7%
4.5 corners/match ●Corners24/244.38 corners/match
17.5 fouls/matchFouls24/2413.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Sept 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNovorizontinoVila Nova FC
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
Head-to-headNovorizontino — Vila Nova FC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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