PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Coritiba 2–2 Novorizontino · Serie B

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Coritiba and Novorizontino drew 2–2.

Shots
189
Shots on target
116
Expected goals
1.930.73
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Coritiba and Novorizontino drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Coritiba – Novorizontino): shots 18–9, shots on target 11–6, expected goals 1.93–0.73, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Coritiba's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Coritiba's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.92 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.92 goals/match1.06 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Coritiba have a visible home split

moderate

Coritiba's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.3 shots/match14.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots9 shotsCoritiba 18 shots, Novorizontino 9 shots
  • Shots on target11 shots6 shotsCoritiba 11 shots, Novorizontino 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.93 xG0.73 xGCoritiba 1.93 xG, Novorizontino 0.73 xG
  • Possession48%52%Coritiba 48%, Novorizontino 52%
  • Corners8 corners5 cornersCoritiba 8 corners, Novorizontino 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls9 foulsCoritiba 10 fouls, Novorizontino 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Coritiba
1Draws
0Novorizontino
Novorizontino — Coritiba · Serie B0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Coritiba favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Novorizontino in 4 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Coritiba25 matchesNovorizontino25 matches
0.92 goals/matchGoals scored25/25▲ 1.16 goals/match
0.96 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 0.84 goals/match
1.19 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/251.03 xG/match
14.1 shots/match ▲Shots25/2512.8 shots/match
4.84 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/253.84 shots/match
49.6% ●Possession25/2542.6%
5.84 corners/match ●Corners25/254.52 corners/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls25/2517.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 9 Sept 2024, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCoritibaNovorizontino
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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