PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

América Mineiro 3–0 Guarani · Serie B

3–0Historical match

Guarani

LWWDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

América Mineiro won 3–0.

Shots
1010
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
1.230.2
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

América Mineiro beat Guarani 3–0. Recorded in this match (América Mineiro – Guarani): shots 10–10, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 1.23–0.2, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Guarani's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Guarani's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.04 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.04 goals/match1.06 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Guarani have a visible away split

strong

Guarani's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.5 shots/match14.6 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots10 shotsAmérica Mineiro 10 shots, Guarani 10 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotAmérica Mineiro 6 shots, Guarani 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.23 xG0.2 xGAmérica Mineiro 1.23 xG, Guarani 0.2 xG
  • Possession39%61%América Mineiro 39%, Guarani 61%
  • Corners1 corner11 cornersAmérica Mineiro 1 corner, Guarani 11 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls16 foulsAmérica Mineiro 12 fouls, Guarani 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1América Mineiro
0Draws
0Guarani
Guarani — América Mineiro · Serie B1–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: América Mineiro favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Guarani in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

América Mineiro25 matchesGuarani24 matches
1.2 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/241.04 goals/match
0.8 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/241.5 goals/match
1.39 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/241.21 xG/match
14.4 shots/matchShots25/2414.6 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target25/244.25 shots/match
57.2% ●Possession25/2449.7%
5.32 corners/matchCorners25/24● 6.25 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls25/2414 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 9 Sept 2024, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAmérica MineiroGuarani
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required