PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Ceará 2–1 Operário-PR · Serie B

Ceará

LLWWD
2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ceará won 2–1.

Shots
1418
Shots on target
77
Expected goals
1.170.82
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ceará beat Operário-PR 2–1. Recorded in this match (Ceará – Operário-PR): shots 14–18, shots on target 7–7, expected goals 1.17–0.82, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Operário-PR's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Operário-PR's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.75 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.75 goals/match1.06 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots18 shotsCeará 14 shots, Operário-PR 18 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots7 shotsCeará 7 shots, Operário-PR 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.17 xG0.82 xGCeará 1.17 xG, Operário-PR 0.82 xG
  • Possession47%53%Ceará 47%, Operário-PR 53%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersCeará 6 corners, Operário-PR 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls9 foulsCeará 12 fouls, Operário-PR 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Ceará
1Draws
0Operário-PR
Operário-PR — Ceará · Serie B0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ceará favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Operário-PR in 5

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ceará25 matchesOperário-PR24 matches
1.56 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/240.75 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed25/24▲ 0.75 goals/match
1.51 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/240.92 xG/match
14.9 shots/match ▲Shots25/2413.9 shots/match
4.84 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/244.17 shots/match
48.6%Possession25/24● 55%
7.08 corners/match ●Corners25/245.42 corners/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls25/2412.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Sept 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCearáOperário-PR
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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