Serie B · 2024

Novorizontino 2–0 Botafogo-SP · Serie B

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Novorizontino won 2–0.

Shots
1020
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
1.121.89
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

Novorizontino beat Botafogo-SP 2–0. Recorded in this match (Novorizontino – Botafogo-SP): shots 10–20, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 1.12–1.89, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Botafogo-SP.

5.02 days ▲Rest daysNovorizontino · Botafogo-SP3.96 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricNovorizontinoBotafogo-SPBaseline
Rest days5.02 days3.96 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Novorizontino's recent record differs from the season

weak

Novorizontino's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.19 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.19 goals/match1.06 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots20 shotsNovorizontino 10 shots, Botafogo-SP 20 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsNovorizontino 4 shots, Botafogo-SP 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.12 xG1.89 xGNovorizontino 1.12 xG, Botafogo-SP 1.89 xG
  • Possession35%65%Novorizontino 35%, Botafogo-SP 65%
  • Corners4 corners8 cornersNovorizontino 4 corners, Botafogo-SP 8 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls11 foulsNovorizontino 19 fouls, Botafogo-SP 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Novorizontino
0Draws
2Botafogo-SP
Botafogo-SP — Novorizontino · Serie B0–1
Botafogo-SP — Novorizontino · Serie B2–0
Novorizontino — Botafogo-SP · Serie B0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Novorizontino favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo-SP in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Novorizontino26 matchesBotafogo-SP25 matches
1.19 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/250.96 goals/match
0.81 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/251.36 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals26/241.08 xG/match
12.7 shots/match ▲Shots26/2512 shots/match
3.85 shots/matchShots on target26/253.68 shots/match
42.3%Possession26/25● 47.5%
4.5 corners/matchCorners26/25● 5.48 corners/match
17.2 fouls/matchFouls26/2514.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Sept 2024, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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