PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Botafogo-SP 1–0 Goiás · Serie B

1–0Historical match

Goiás

WDWLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Botafogo-SP won 1–0.

Shots
1313
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
0.70.65
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo-SP beat Goiás 1–0. Recorded in this match (Botafogo-SP – Goiás): shots 13–13, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 0.7–0.65, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Botafogo-SP's recent record differs from the season

weak

Botafogo-SP's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goal/match1.06 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots13 shotsBotafogo-SP 13 shots, Goiás 13 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsBotafogo-SP 3 shots, Goiás 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.7 xG0.65 xGBotafogo-SP 0.7 xG, Goiás 0.65 xG
  • Possession50%50%Botafogo-SP 50%, Goiás 50%
  • Corners9 corners8 cornersBotafogo-SP 9 corners, Goiás 8 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls21 foulsBotafogo-SP 17 fouls, Goiás 21 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Botafogo-SP
0Draws
1Goiás
Goiás — Botafogo-SP · Serie B4–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo-SP favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Goiás in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo-SP24 matchesGoiás24 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored24/24▲ 1.38 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲ 1.04 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals23/24▲ 1.38 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots24/24▲ 12.4 shots/match
3.63 shots/matchShots on target24/24▲ 4 shots/match
46.8%Possession24/24● 50.5%
5.38 corners/match ●Corners24/245.08 corners/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls24/2412.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 10 Sept 2024, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBotafogo-SPGoiás
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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