PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Novorizontino 1–0 Brusque · Serie B

1–0Historical match

Brusque

LWDLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Novorizontino won 1–0.

Shots
114
Shots on target
31
Expected goals
0.590.31
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Novorizontino beat Brusque 1–0. Recorded in this match (Novorizontino – Brusque): shots 11–4, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 0.59–0.31, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Brusque's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Brusque's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7.2 shots/match11 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Novorizontino, Brusque.

4 days ▲Rest daysNovorizontino · Brusque3.08 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricNovorizontinoBrusqueBaseline
Rest days4 days3.08 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots4 shotsNovorizontino 11 shots, Brusque 4 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotNovorizontino 3 shots, Brusque 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.59 xG0.31 xGNovorizontino 0.59 xG, Brusque 0.31 xG
  • Possession52%48%Novorizontino 52%, Brusque 48%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersNovorizontino 7 corners, Brusque 2 corners
  • Fouls21 fouls12 foulsNovorizontino 21 fouls, Brusque 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Novorizontino
1Draws
0Brusque
Brusque — Novorizontino · Serie B0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Novorizontino favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Brusque in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Novorizontino27 matchesBrusque27 matches
1.19 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/270.7 goals/match
0.78 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.19 goals/match
1.02 xG/matchExpected goals27/270.99 xG/match
12.6 shots/match ▲Shots27/2711 shots/match
3.81 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/273.22 shots/match
42.7%Possession27/27● 47%
4.59 corners/match ●Corners27/273.93 corners/match
17.3 fouls/matchFouls27/2714.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 18 Sept 2024, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNovorizontinoBrusque
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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