PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Brusque 3–1 Vila Nova FC · Serie B

Brusque

LLWDL
3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Brusque won 3–1.

Shots
89
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
0.740.63
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

Brusque beat Vila Nova FC 3–1. Recorded in this match (Brusque – Vila Nova FC): shots 8–9, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 0.74–0.63, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Brusque's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Brusque's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.73 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.73 goals/match1.04 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots9 shotsBrusque 8 shots, Vila Nova FC 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsBrusque 5 shots, Vila Nova FC 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.74 xG0.63 xGBrusque 0.74 xG, Vila Nova FC 0.63 xG
  • Possession33%67%Brusque 33%, Vila Nova FC 67%
  • Corners2 corners8 cornersBrusque 2 corners, Vila Nova FC 8 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls12 foulsBrusque 13 fouls, Vila Nova FC 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Brusque
1Draws
0Vila Nova FC
Vila Nova FC — Brusque · Serie B2–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Brusque favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Vila Nova FC in 5 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Brusque26 matchesVila Nova FC26 matches
0.73 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 1.15 goals/match
1.19 goals/matchGoals allowed26/261.15 goals/match
1.02 xG/matchExpected goals26/26▲ 1.11 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots26/2611.5 shots/match
3.31 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲ 3.69 shots/match
47%Possession26/26● 50.3%
4 corners/matchCorners26/26● 4.54 corners/match
14.4 fouls/matchFouls26/2613.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Sept 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBrusqueVila Nova FC
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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