PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Guarani 0–0 Ceará · Serie B

Guarani

LLLDL
0–0Historical match

Ceará

LWWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Guarani and Ceará drew 0–0.

Shots
411
Shots on target
12
Expected goals
0.031.49
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Guarani and Ceará drew 0–0. Recorded in this match (Guarani – Ceará): shots 4–11, shots on target 1–2, expected goals 0.03–1.49, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Guarani's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Guarani's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.87 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.87 goals/match1.08 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6 corners/matchCornersGuarani · Ceará● 6.92 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricGuaraniCearáBaseline
Corners6 corners/match6.92 corners/match5.11 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots4 shots11 shotsGuarani 4 shots, Ceará 11 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot2 shotsGuarani 1 shot, Ceará 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.03 xG1.49 xGGuarani 0.03 xG, Ceará 1.49 xG
  • Possession47%53%Guarani 47%, Ceará 53%
  • Corners2 corners7 cornersGuarani 2 corners, Ceará 7 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls14 foulsGuarani 7 fouls, Ceará 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Guarani
1Draws
1Ceará
Ceará — Guarani · Serie B3–1
Guarani — Ceará · Serie B0–0
Ceará — Guarani · Serie B0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Guarani favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Ceará in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Guarani38 matchesCeará38 matches
0.87 goals/matchGoals scored38/38▲ 1.55 goals/match
1.39 goals/matchGoals allowed38/38▲ 1.08 goals/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals38/38▲ 1.5 xG/match
14.2 shots/matchShots38/3814.7 shots/match
4.45 shots/matchShots on target38/38▲ 4.89 shots/match
49.6% ●Possession38/3849.3%
6 corners/matchCorners38/38● 6.92 corners/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls38/3813.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples38 / 38home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 25 Nov 2024, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGuaraniCeará
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
Head-to-headGuarani — Ceará
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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