PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Ceará 1–0 América Mineiro · Serie B

Ceará

WLWWW
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ceará won 1–0.

Shots
158
Shots on target
60
Expected goals
2.080.45
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ceará beat América Mineiro 1–0. Recorded in this match (Ceará – América Mineiro): shots 15–8, shots on target 6–0, expected goals 2.08–0.45, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

América Mineiro's recent record differs from the season

weak

América Mineiro's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.27 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

América Mineiro have a visible away split

moderate

América Mineiro's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.2 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match13.8 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots8 shotsCeará 15 shots, América Mineiro 8 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots0 shotsCeará 6 shots, América Mineiro 0 shots
  • Expected goals2.08 xG0.45 xGCeará 2.08 xG, América Mineiro 0.45 xG
  • Possession38%62%Ceará 38%, América Mineiro 62%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersCeará 8 corners, América Mineiro 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls11 foulsCeará 13 fouls, América Mineiro 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Ceará
1Draws
1América Mineiro
América Mineiro — Ceará · Serie B2–2
Ceará — América Mineiro · Serie A1–2
América Mineiro — Ceará · Serie A0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ceará favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · América Mineiro in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ceará37 matchesAmérica Mineiro37 matches
1.59 goals/match ▲Goals scored37/371.27 goals/match
1.11 goals/matchGoals allowed37/37▲ 0.95 goals/match
1.5 xG/matchExpected goals37/371.43 xG/match
14.8 shots/match ▲Shots37/3713.8 shots/match
4.97 shots/match ▲Shots on target37/374.43 shots/match
49.2%Possession37/37● 55.5%
6.92 corners/match ●Corners37/374.92 corners/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls37/3711.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples37 / 37home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 19 Nov 2024, 04:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCearáAmérica Mineiro
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
Head-to-headCeará — América Mineiro
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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