PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Sport Recife 2–1 Santos · Serie B

2–1Historical match

Santos

WWWWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sport Recife won 2–1.

Shots
199
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
3.610.64
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sport Recife beat Santos 2–1. Recorded in this match (Sport Recife – Santos): shots 19–9, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 3.61–0.64, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sport Recife's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sport Recife's last-five shots average is above their season average.

17.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots17.2 shots/match13.1 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Santos have a visible away split

moderate

Santos's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.9 shots/match14.8 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots9 shotsSport Recife 19 shots, Santos 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsSport Recife 4 shots, Santos 3 shots
  • Expected goals3.61 xG0.64 xGSport Recife 3.61 xG, Santos 0.64 xG
  • Possession45%55%Sport Recife 45%, Santos 55%
  • Corners7 corners1 cornerSport Recife 7 corners, Santos 1 corner
  • Fouls21 fouls17 foulsSport Recife 21 fouls, Santos 17 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Sport Recife
1Draws
0Santos
Santos — Sport Recife · Serie B1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sport Recife favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Santos in 5 · 6 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sport Recife38 matchesSantos38 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored38/381.5 goals/match
0.97 goals/matchGoals allowed38/38▲ 0.84 goals/match
1.39 xG/matchExpected goals37/371.33 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots38/37▲ 14.8 shots/match
3.95 shots/matchShots on target38/37▲ 5.24 shots/match
54.9% ●Possession38/3753.2%
6.03 corners/match ●Corners38/375.59 corners/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls38/3711.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples38 / 38home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 25 Nov 2024, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSport RecifeSantos
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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