PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Botafogo-SP 2–1 Operário-PR · Serie B

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Botafogo-SP won 2–1.

Shots
149
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.091.07
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo-SP beat Operário-PR 2–1. Recorded in this match (Botafogo-SP – Operário-PR): shots 14–9, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.09–1.07, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Botafogo-SP's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Botafogo-SP's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots9 shotsBotafogo-SP 14 shots, Operário-PR 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsBotafogo-SP 5 shots, Operário-PR 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.09 xG1.07 xGBotafogo-SP 1.09 xG, Operário-PR 1.07 xG
  • Possession47%53%Botafogo-SP 47%, Operário-PR 53%
  • Corners2 corners3 cornersBotafogo-SP 2 corners, Operário-PR 3 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls15 foulsBotafogo-SP 16 fouls, Operário-PR 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Botafogo-SP
2Draws
1Operário-PR
Botafogo-SP — Operário-PR · Serie B1–1
Operário-PR — Botafogo-SP · Serie B3–0
Botafogo-SP — Operário-PR · Serie B0–0
Operário-PR — Botafogo-SP · Serie B0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo-SP favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Operário-PR in 8

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo-SP13 matchesOperário-PR13 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored13/13▲ 1.15 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed13/131.31 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals7/6▲ 1.3 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots7/6▲ 15.2 shots/match
3.86 shots/matchShots on target7/6▲ 4.33 shots/match
50.9%Possession7/6● 54.8%
5.86 corners/matchCorners7/6● 6 corners/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls7/613.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 15 Jun 2026, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBotafogo-SPOperário-PR
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headBotafogo-SP — Operário-PR
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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