PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Náutico 0–0 Juventude · Serie B

0–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Náutico and Juventude drew 0–0.

Shots
1611
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
0.810.62
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Náutico and Juventude drew 0–0. Recorded in this match (Náutico – Juventude): shots 16–11, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 0.81–0.62, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Juventude's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Juventude's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots11 shotsNáutico 16 shots, Juventude 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsNáutico 3 shots, Juventude 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.81 xG0.62 xGNáutico 0.81 xG, Juventude 0.62 xG
  • Possession64%36%Náutico 64%, Juventude 36%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersNáutico 6 corners, Juventude 2 corners
  • Fouls25 fouls15 foulsNáutico 25 fouls, Juventude 15 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Náutico favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Juventude in 3 · 7 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Náutico16 matchesJuventude16 matches
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/161 goal/match
1.19 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲ 0.5 goals/match
0.98 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/40.55 xG/match
15.8 shots/match ▲Shots5/49 shots/match
4.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/43.75 shots/match
54.4% ●Possession5/444.5%
4.2 corners/match ●Corners5/42.75 corners/match
18 fouls/matchFouls5/414.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 6 Jul 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNáuticoJuventude
CompetitionSerie B
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required