PitchMath
Serie B · 2026Estadio Alfredo Jaconi

Juventude 1–0 Vila Nova FC · Serie B

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Juventude won 1–0.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: juventude's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Juventude's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Juventude's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Juventude
0Draws
2Vila Nova FC
Juventude — Vila Nova FC · Serie B0–2
Vila Nova FC — Juventude · Serie B1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Juventude favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Vila Nova FC in 2 · 7 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Juventude17 matchesVila Nova FC17 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 1.47 goals/match
0.47 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/171.12 goals/match
0.55 xG/matchExpected goals4/7▲ 1.37 xG/match
9 shots/matchShots4/7▲ 14.6 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target4/7▲ 4.43 shots/match
44.5%Possession4/7● 53.4%
2.75 corners/matchCorners4/7● 4.29 corners/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls4/713.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Jul 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsJuventudeVila Nova FC
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headJuventude — Vila Nova FC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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