PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Botafogo-SP 3–1 Avaí · Serie B

3–1Full-time analysis

Avaí

LLLWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Botafogo-SP won 3–1.

Shots
911
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.390.31
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo-SP beat Avaí 3–1. Recorded in this match (Botafogo-SP – Avaí): shots 9–11, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.39–0.31, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots11 shotsBotafogo-SP 9 shots, Avaí 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsBotafogo-SP 5 shots, Avaí 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.39 xG0.31 xGBotafogo-SP 1.39 xG, Avaí 0.31 xG
  • Possession39%61%Botafogo-SP 39%, Avaí 61%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersBotafogo-SP 6 corners, Avaí 2 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls10 foulsBotafogo-SP 19 fouls, Avaí 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Botafogo-SP
2Draws
3Avaí
Botafogo-SP — Avaí · Serie B0–0
Avaí — Botafogo-SP · Serie B5–0
Botafogo-SP — Avaí · Serie B1–3
Avaí — Botafogo-SP · Serie B1–1
Botafogo-SP — Avaí · Serie B0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo-SP favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Avaí in 2

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo-SP16 matchesAvaí16 matches
1.06 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/161 goal/match
0.94 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/161.5 goals/match
1.28 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/80.68 xG/match
14 shots/match ▲Shots9/810.6 shots/match
4.22 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/83.63 shots/match
50.6%Possession9/8● 52.1%
6.44 corners/match ●Corners9/82.5 corners/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls9/814.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 7 Jul 2026, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBotafogo-SPAvaí
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headBotafogo-SP — Avaí
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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